Fact-check analysisVerified as of June 28, 2025Curated by FactVerify
Misleading

When Trump took America's economy from 2.4% growth down to 0.5% contraction, he hit Midwestern states (most of whom voted for him) the very hardest.

While it is true that the U.S. Economy shrank by 0.5% in the first quarter after a previous 2.4% growth, there is no clear evidence from the sources that Midwestern states, most of which voted for Trump, were hit the very hardest by this contraction.

FactVerify

FactVerify

Source: factverify.com

The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

The claim has two main components: first, that the U.S. Economy went from 2.4% growth down to a 0.5% contraction under Trump, and second, that this economic downturn hit Midwestern states, most of which voted for Trump, the hardest.

The first part is supported by multiple sources including the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and news outlets like PBS and AP News, which confirm that real GDP grew at 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 but then shrank at an annual rate of 0.5% in the first quarter of 2025. This contraction is attributed in part to Trump's import taxes disrupting business.

However, none of the provided sources offer specific data or analysis showing that Midwestern states were disproportionately affected by this economic downturn compared to other regions. The sources do not break down GDP or economic impact by region or state, nor do they link the economic contraction specifically to areas that voted for Trump. Without regional economic data or analysis, it is not possible to verify the claim that Midwestern states were hit "the very hardest." Therefore, while the overall economic figures are accurate, the assertion about the regional impact on Midwestern states is unsubstantiated based on the available information and thus misleading.

Primary trail

Verified Sources4

U.S. economy shrank 0.5% between January and March, worse than 2

pbs.org
Open source

US economy shrank 0.5% between January and March, worse than 2 earlier

apnews.com
Open source
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