Americans’ electricity bills are predicted to rise by as much as 18% over the next decade, thanks to cuts to clean energy production in Trump’s big, ugly bill. Red states are likely to see the biggest increases.

The claim consists of two main components: first, that Americans’ electricity bills will rise by as much as 18% over the next decade due to cuts in clean energy production caused by a recent legislative bill associated with Trump; second, that red states are likely to see the biggest increases. Multiple credible sources confirm that the so-called 'Big, Beautiful Bill' passed recently will eliminate or reduce clean energy tax credits and investments, which are currently helping to lower energy costs and promote renewable energy growth. This rollback is expected to slow new clean energy capacity additions, leading to higher electricity costs nationwide. Estimates vary but generally indicate an increase in household electricity costs ranging from about $170 to $280 annually by 2035, which roughly corresponds to an increase in the range of 8% to nearly 18% depending on the state and baseline costs.theguardian.comtheguardian.comTrump promised to lower energy costs – his tax bill will raise them for people...theatlantic.comtheatlantic.comThe Most Perverse Part of the 'Big, Beautiful Bill'

Regarding geographic disparities, analyses from reputable sources including The Guardian and The Atlantic show that states which voted for Trump in recent elections, often referred to as red states, such as Missouri, Kentucky, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, and others are projected to face the steepest increases in electricity bills. For example, Missouri is expected to see increases up to $640 annually per household.nevadacurrent.comnevadacurrent.comUgly truths about Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill and energy costs • Nevada Current This is attributed partly to these states’ current energy mixes and reliance on fossil fuels combined with the bill’s impact on clean energy incentives.

While some sources mention national average increases around 8.4%, others highlight that certain states could see increases approaching or exceeding 18%, supporting the claim’s upper bound. The timeframe referenced is consistent with projections through 2035 or roughly a decade ahead. The claim’s framing that these increases are 'thanks to cuts to clean energy production' aligns with expert analyses linking the bill’s rollback of clean energy tax credits directly to higher future electricity costs.

In summary, the claim is largely accurate though exact percentage increases vary by source and state. The emphasis on red states facing the largest hikes is supported by multiple independent analyses. Minor nuances include variation in estimates and that some cost increases also relate indirectly to broader energy market dynamics beyond just clean energy cuts. However, the core factual assertions are well supported.