Fact-check analysisVerified as of August 21, 2025Curated by FactVerify
Mostly True

2.8 million people in the US now identify as transgender… Most of those folks are under the age of 35.

Current data from multiple reputable sources estimate about 2.8 million people in the US identify as transgender, with a majority being younger than 35 years old.

Trans People in the U.S.: Identities, Demographics, and Wellbeing | KFF

Trans People in the U.S.: Identities, Demographics, and Wellbeing | KFF

Source: kff.org

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified August 21, 2025
The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

The figure of approximately 2.8 million transgender individuals in the United States is supported by several recent studies and reports, notably from the Williams Institute at UCLA School of Law, which is a leading research center on LGBTQ+ demographics. These sources provide population-based estimates including people aged 13 and older.williamsinstitute.law.ucla.eduwilliamsinstitute.law.ucla.eduNew estimate: 2.8 million people aged 13 and older identify as transgender in...wjhl.comwjhl.com2.8M in US now identify as transgender: Research

Regarding age distribution, multiple sources indicate that younger cohorts are more likely to identify as transgender. For example, the Williams Institute notes that young adults aged 18 to 24 have a significantly higher likelihood of identifying as transgender compared to older adults. Similarly, KFF data shows that those aged 18 to 34 are more likely to identify as non-binary or transgender than those over 35.kff.orgkff.orgTrans People in the U.S.: Identities, Demographics, and Wellbeing+1 more

The Guardian and other media outlets referencing recent data analyses also report that out of the total transgender population, a substantial portion, around 724,000, are youth, reinforcing that most transgender individuals are under age 35.theguardian.comtheguardian.comMore than 2.8m people in US identify as trans, including 724,000 youth, data...

While exact percentages vary slightly between studies due to methodology differences and definitions of transgender identity (including non-binary identities), the core claim that about 2.8 million people identify as transgender and that most are under 35 is well-supported.

Earlier academic meta-analyses provide context on challenges in estimating population size but do not contradict these more recent estimates.pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govpmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govTransgender Population Size in the United States: a Meta-Regression of...

Overall, the claim aligns with current best available evidence from multiple independent and credible sources. Minor variations in numbers and age breakdowns exist but do not undermine the main points.

Primary trail

Verified Sources7

Transgender Population Size in the United States: a Meta-Regression of...

pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Open source

New estimate: 2.8 million people aged 13 and older identify as transgender in...

williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
Open source

Report Reveals Sharp Rise in Transgender Young People in the U.S

nytimes.com
Open source
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