Trump has the highest poll numbers.

The claim that 'Trump has the highest poll numbers' is misleading because while some polls show his approval rating reaching highs around 47%, overall averages and multiple reputable sources indicate his approval is generally lower, often in the high 30s to low 40s percent range, and his ratings vary significantly by state and demographic.

Final Presidential Job Approval Ratings - The American Presidency Project
Source: presidency.ucsb.edu

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified September 23, 2025

NBC News poll showed a peak approval of 47% in March 2025.democratandchronicle.com
Pew Research Center reported a decline to around 38%-41% approval by mid-2025.pewresearch.org pewresearch.org
Real Clear Politics and New York Times polling averages indicate net negative overall job approval ratings.nytimes.com al.com
Regional data shows higher approval in Republican states but lower nationally.al.com economist.com
Forbes and Nate Silver analyses highlight declining or moderate approval among Republicans and general voters.forbes.com natesilver.net

The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

Analysis of multiple recent polls from early to late 2025 shows mixed results regarding President Donald Trump's approval ratings. Some sources, such as a March 2025 NBC News poll reported by Democrat and Chronicle, indicate Trump reached an approval rating of 47%, described as an all-time high for his current term.democratandchronicle.com However, other reputable polling organizations like Pew Research Center report lower approval ratings around 38% to 41% in mid-2025. The New York Times and Real Clear Politics averages also show his overall job approval rating as net negative, with disapproval exceeding approval nationally. Furthermore, regional variations exist where Trump has higher approval in certain Republican-leaning states but lower ratings in Democratic-leaning areas. Forbes highlights that Trump's approval among Republicans has declined since the start of his second term despite claims of historic highs.forbes.com Nate Silver's polling aggregates confirm fluctuating but generally moderate approval levels rather than consistently highest poll numbers. Newsweek notes sharp declines in key battleground counties despite some localized high numbers.+7 more

Overall, while Trump has experienced peaks in some polls, the claim that he currently holds the highest poll numbers overall is not supported by the broader polling data and averages available through September 2025.

Primary trail