The claim that 22 states plus the District of Columbia are in or near recession as of October 2025 is true because multiple independent and reliable sources, including Moody’s Analytics and major news outlets, consistently report this assessment with largely matching state lists.
22 states + DC, in or near recession per Moody’s Analytics, Oct 2025, includes Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia & Wyoming (8 Red, 15 Blue)

Map Shows Which States Are at High Risk of Recession - Newsweek
Source: newsweek.com
Key Evidence
Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi publicly stated that 22 states plus DC are in or near recession.
Multiple news outlets including Newsweek, Axios, Fortune, and Yahoo Finance published matching lists of these states in early October 2025.
The economic weakness is noted despite national GDP growth, underscoring localized downturns.
What the Evidence Shows
Multiple reputable sources from October 2025 confirm that Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi identified 22 states plus DC as being in a recession or on the brink of one. These states include Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
The lists across sources such as Newsweek, WTNH, KSN, Yahoo Finance, Mint, Axios, and others show strong agreement on these states. The claim about the political breakdown (8 Red states and 15 Blue states) aligns with the known political leanings of these states but is less emphasized in the sources.newsweek.comnewsweek.comMap Shows Which States Are at High Risk of Recession
wtnh.comwtnh.comConnecticut is one of 22 states in a recession or on the brink: Moody’s+4 more
Additionally, these reports highlight that this regional recession occurs despite overall U.S. GDP growth around 3.8%, indicating uneven economic conditions across states. The consistency across at least ten independent news reports citing Moody’s Analytics provides high confidence in the accuracy of this claim.