Fact-check analysisVerified as of September 1, 2026Curated by FactVerify
Misleading

The problem is teens and young adults. From ages 15-19, the fertility rate is down 70% in the last 2 decades, which means we are telling people who are young not to have babies.

Teen fertility has fallen sharply over the past two decades, but the cited reports do not establish that society is “telling” young people not to have babies, nor that fewer teen births are the cause of broader fertility concerns.

Opinion | It’s Not a Mystery Why Fertility Rates Are Declining - The New York Times

Opinion | It’s Not a Mystery Why Fertility Rates Are Declining - The New York Times

Source: nytimes.com

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified September 1, 2026
  • The provided reports consistently attribute a roughly 70% two-decade decline in the 15-to-19 fertility rate to Marc Siegel, although no underlying statistical release is included.

  • The reports also indicate that Siegel referred to a separate recent decline of 7%, a distinction that is blurred in some reproduced versions of the quote.

  • Nothing in the supplied evidence demonstrates that public advice against teen childbearing caused the decline, or that the decline is the principal cause of overall fertility changes.

The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

The quoted figure is attributed to Marc Siegel, a Fox News senior medical analyst, who said on air that the fertility rate for 15- to 19-year-olds had fallen by 70% over two decades. Several April 2026 reports reproduced or described that remark, while The New York Times repeated the broader point in a May 2026 opinion column. The supplied material does not include the underlying government dataset or the exact years, denominator, or measure used to calculate the 70% figure, so the statistic itself cannot be independently checked from these sources alone.nytimes.comnytimes.comOpinionthe-independent.comthe-independent.comFox News analyst blames low birth rate on teens not having enough kids: ‘From...+3 more

Primary trail

Verified Sources10

Why aren’t Republicans thrilled by the fall in teen pregnancies? | Arwa Mahdawi

theguardian.com4/15/2026
Open source

A Fox News doctor on the lower fertility rate: "The problem is teens and young...

threads.com4/10/2026
Open source
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