Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has published odds indicating Prince Andrew and Bill Clinton are the top individuals likely to be mentioned in newly released Epstein documents, followed by Bill Gates, Alan Dershowitz, and Donald Trump.
Mostly True
According to Polymarket, the top individuals likely to be mentioned in the newly published Epstein documents are Prince Andrew and Bill Clinton tied at the lead, followed by Bill Gates, Alan Dershowitz, and Donald Trump.
Who will be named in Epstein files by June 30?
Source: polymarket.com
At a glance
Verified July 27, 2025Key Evidence
Polymarket's official event pages and social media posts list Prince Andrew at approximately 77% chance and Bill Clinton at 71%, followed by Bill Gates at 64% and Alan Dershowitz at 63% for mentions in Epstein files.
polymarket.compolymarket.comWho will be named in Epstein files by June 30?
x.comx.comPolymarket on X: "JUST IN: The latest Epstein odds ahead of the list's imminent... These figures match the claim's ordering closely.
The reporting
What the Evidence Shows
The claim breaks down into two parts: first, that Polymarket has published odds on who will be named in the newly released Jeffrey Epstein documents; second, that the top individuals by likelihood are Prince Andrew and Bill Clinton tied at the lead, followed by Bill Gates, Alan Dershowitz, and Donald Trump. Polymarket is a known prediction market platform where users bet on outcomes of events, including political and legal developments.
According to Polymarket's publicly available markets and social media posts, Prince Andrew holds the highest probability (around 77%) of being mentioned in the Epstein files, with Bill Clinton close behind (around 71%), followed by Bill Gates (64%), Alan Dershowitz (63%), and Donald Trump also appearing among the top names.x.comx.comPolymarket on X: "JUST IN: The latest Epstein odds ahead of the list's imminent... This aligns closely with the claim's ordering.
However, it is important to note that these are betting odds reflecting market sentiment rather than confirmed factual mentions in the documents themselves. The actual released documents may differ in content.
Additionally, some other individuals like Stephen Hawking and David Copperfield also appear with notable odds but were not mentioned in the claim. The claim accurately reflects Polymarket's odds as of recent data but should be understood as probabilistic forecasts rather than definitive evidence of who is named. The source Polymarket itself has commercial incentives and user-driven speculation influences these odds, so while the data is factual about what Polymarket reports, it does not confirm actual document contents.
Overall, the claim is mostly true as it correctly reports Polymarket's stated odds and rankings but lacks nuance about the speculative nature of prediction markets versus confirmed facts.
Primary trail
Verified Sources2
Open source