Fact-check analysisVerified as of July 23, 2025Curated by FactVerify
Mostly True

Trump claims the Epstein scandal has caused his numbers to go up by 5 points

Donald Trump has publicly claimed that the Epstein scandal has caused his poll numbers to increase significantly, including by about five points within his Republican base.

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Source: factverify.com

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified July 23, 2025
The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

The claim consists of two main components: first, that Trump made a statement attributing a rise in his poll numbers to the Epstein scandal; second, that the increase is approximately five points. Multiple recent sources confirm that Trump has indeed boasted on his social media platform about his poll numbers rising 'significantly' amid what he calls the 'Jeffrey Epstein Hoax'.crooksandliars.comcrooksandliars.comThe Trump-Epstein Scandal Couldn't Get Worse, Right? Oh, Here's Another Thingnewsweek.comnewsweek.comDonald Trump Touts 'Record' Polls Following Epstein Files Controversycnn.comcnn.comAnalysis: Trump’s angry, erratic behavior explains his lowball poll numbers

These statements are self-reported and reflect Trump's interpretation of polling data rather than independently verified figures. Independent polling data from reputable sources show mixed results, with some polls indicating fluctuations in Trump's approval ratings but not necessarily a clear or consistent five-point increase directly linked to the Epstein controversy.

Additionally, some reports highlight that while Trump's core MAGA base may have rallied around him during this controversy, his overall approval ratings remain low or have declined in broader electorates. Therefore, while Trump has made the claim and there is some evidence of increased support within segments of his base, the exact magnitude and causality of a five-point rise attributable solely to the Epstein scandal are not conclusively supported by independent data.

The claim is mostly accurate regarding Trump's statement but somewhat lacks independent verification for the precise numerical increase and causal attribution.

Primary trail

Verified Sources5

The Trump-Epstein Scandal Couldn't Get Worse, Right? Oh, Here's Another Thing

crooksandliars.com
Open source

Trump Claims His Poll Numbers Up Amid 'Jeffrey Epstein Hoax'

mediaite.com
Open source

Donald Trump Touts 'Record' Polls Following Epstein Files Controversy

newsweek.com
Open source
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