Fact-check analysisVerified as of September 30, 2026Curated by FactVerify
True

A recent poll shows Peggy Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 1 percentage point in a Minnesota Senate race.

Recent polling from InsiderAdvantage confirms that Peggy Flanagan holds a 1 percentage point lead over Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race.

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Source: factverify.com

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified September 30, 2026
  • An InsiderAdvantage poll conducted September 28–29, 2026, among 1,200 likely voters showed Peggy Flanagan at 46% and Michele Tafoya at 45%.

  • The 1 percentage point margin falls within the poll's reported margin of error of approximately 2.95%.

The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

A survey conducted by InsiderAdvantage between September 28 and September 29, 2026, indicates that the contest for the U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota is highly competitive. The poll, which sampled 1,200 likely voters, found Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan leading Republican nominee Michele Tafoya 46% to 45%.

The survey reported a margin of error of approximately 2.95 percentage points.insideradvantage.cominsideradvantage.comInsideradvantage Survey U S Senate Minnesota Contest a One Point Race Flanagan...Recent Polling Data: A poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage on September 28–29, 2026, with 1,200 likely voters, showed Peggy Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 1 percentage point (46% to 45%) This poll had a margin of error of approximately 2.95% Additional reporting from Mediaite and Political Wire corroborates these findings, noting the closeness of the race between the two candidates. Other available records confirm that Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya are the primary candidates in this 2026 election, following Tafoya's nomination in August 2026.google.comgoogle.comfacebook.comMichele Tafoya (Republican): A former sports broadcaster who won the Republican nomination in August 2026+3 more

Primary trail

Verified Sources7

Insideradvantage Survey U S Senate Minnesota Contest a One Point Race Flanagan...

insideradvantage.com
Open source

Michele Tafoya Minnesota Polls Close Race

mediaite.com
Open source

Peggy Flanagan Barely Ahead in Minnesota Senate Race

politicalwire.com
Open source
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