Fact-check analysisVerified as of September 21, 2025Curated by FactVerify
Partially True

GOP strongholds are CRUSHING early voting numbers compared to Dem areas! Republican surge: Dinwiddie – 82% Goochland – 72% Hanover – 62% Democrat lag: Norfolk City – 43% Charlottesville – 42% Arlington – 31%

Available evidence suggests that in some recent elections, certain Republican-leaning areas have shown stronger early voting turnout compared to Democratic-leaning areas, but the specific percentages and locations cited lack direct verification from the provided sources.

Trump-Harris Early Voting Trends: GOP Cuts Into Democratic Advantage

Trump-Harris Early Voting Trends: GOP Cuts Into Democratic Advantage

Source: forbes.com

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified September 21, 2025
The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

The claim states that GOP strongholds like Dinwiddie (82%), Goochland (72%), and Hanover (62%) are 'crushing' early voting numbers compared to Democratic areas such as Norfolk City (43%), Charlottesville (42%), and Arlington (31%). The sources reviewed provide some context on early voting trends in Virginia and nationally but do not confirm these exact figures or the precise comparison between these specific localities.

Several sources indicate that Republican districts or areas have increased early voting turnout relative to Democratic districts in recent election cycles, suggesting a narrowing gap or GOP gains in early voting participation.forbes.comforbes.comTrump-Harris Early Voting Trends: GOP Cuts Into Democratic Advantagecardinalnews.orgcardinalnews.orgEarly voting trends show Republican congressional districts are outvoting...

discusses Virginia's political shifts, noting Republicans remain competitive in rural areas like Hanover, but it does not provide exact early voting percentages.cardinalnews.orgcardinalnews.orgVirginia is shifting Democratic but Republicans are staying competitive by...

highlights increases in early voting in Democratic strongholds in Northern Virginia but is dated from 2016 and thus less relevant for current trends.dailyprogress.comdailyprogress.comDemocratic strongholds in Northern Virginia see big increases in early voting

None of the sources provide detailed, up-to-date early voting turnout percentages broken down by the specific counties or cities named in the claim.

National polling data shows mixed early voting rates among party affiliations but does not break down by locality.forbes.comforbes.comTrump-Harris Early Voting Trends: GOP Cuts Into Democratic Advantage

Therefore, while the general trend of Republicans improving or leading in early voting in some areas is supported, the precise numbers and direct comparison for these particular localities cannot be verified from the provided evidence.

Primary trail

Verified Sources10

June 2025 National Poll: Democratic Nomination Up for Grabs as Harris Loses...

emersoncollegepolling.com
Open source

Trump-Harris Early Voting Trends: GOP Cuts Into Democratic Advantage

forbes.com
Open source

Early voting trends show Republican congressional districts are outvoting...

cardinalnews.org
Open source
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