Eric Adams drops out, all signs still point to Mamdani winning.

The claim that Eric Adams has dropped out is misleading because while some sources report he is expected to drop out, multiple reliable sources including Adams himself deny this and confirm he remains in the race; however, polls and analyses consistently show Zohran Mamdani leading strongly whether Adams stays or not.

9/10/25 - Mamdani Dominates NYC Mayor's Race, Up 22 Points Over Cuomo In 4-Way Race, Quinnipiac University New York City Poll Finds; If Adams Drops Out, Mamdani Still Leads By Double Digits - Quinnipiac University Poll
Source: poll.qu.edu

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified September 28, 2025

Quinnipiac University poll shows Mamdani leading by double digits even if Adams drops out.poll.qu.edu
Eric Adams publicly denies dropping out and confirms he remains in the race.apnews.com stg-www.hindustantimes.com
Multiple analyses and bookmakers favor Mamdani as the likely winner regardless of Adams' status.newsweek.com city-journal.org +1 more

The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

Several sources report rumors or expectations that Eric Adams might drop out of the 2025 New York City mayoral race.poll.qu.edu cbsnews.com For example, a Quinnipiac University poll shows Mamdani leading by a large margin and indicates Mamdani would still lead if Adams dropped out. However, other credible sources directly quote Adams or his spokesperson denying these rumors and affirming his intention to continue his campaign. The CBS News article reports on expectations of Adams dropping out but does not confirm it as fact. The AP News article explicitly states Adams says he is not dropping out and will beat Mamdani. Similarly, a Hindustan Times insider source calls the dropping out rumors "bulls**t". Regarding the second part of the claim that "all signs still point to Mamdani winning," multiple sources agree Mamdani is currently the frontrunner. Polls show him with a significant lead over Cuomo and others, and bookmakers favor him to win. Fundraising data also supports Mamdani's strong position. Analyses suggest that even if all challengers remain in the race, Mamdani is likely to win due to vote splitting among opponents.+8 more

In summary, while Mamdani is clearly leading and favored to win, the assertion that Eric Adams has dropped out is not supported by current verified information and is contradicted by direct statements from Adams and his team.

Primary trail