Fact-check analysisVerified as of October 8, 2025Curated by FactVerify
True

62% of Americans Believe Republicans Will ‘Win Government Shutdown,’

The claim that 62% of Americans believe Republicans will 'win' the government shutdown is true because a Harvard poll reported by The Hill found that 62% of respondents thought Republicans would come out ahead in the shutdown standoff.

Trump and Republicans are being blamed more than Dems for government shutdown, early polling finds - The Independent

Trump and Republicans are being blamed more than Dems for government shutdown, early polling finds - The Independent

Source: independent.co.uk

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified October 8, 2025
The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

Multiple recent polls from reputable sources indicate that while a majority of Americans tend to blame Republicans, particularly Trump and GOP leaders, for the government shutdown, there is also a significant perception that Republicans will ultimately 'win' or come out ahead in the shutdown conflict. Specifically, a Harvard poll cited by The Hill explicitly states that 62% of Americans surveyed believed Republicans would win the shutdown, compared to 38% who thought Democrats would prevail.thehill.comthehill.comShutdown poll: Americans blame Republicans, want deal

Other polls consistently show Republicans receiving more blame for the shutdown than Democrats, but this does not contradict the perception of their eventual political advantage. The data reflect a nuanced public opinion where blame and perceived victory are distinct concepts. The claim is supported by direct polling data from a credible academic source and reported by multiple mainstream news outlets.independent.co.ukindependent.co.ukTrump and Republicans are being blamed more than Dems for government shutdown,...thehill.comthehill.comMore Americans blame Trump, Republicans for shutdown than Democrats: Survey+2 more

Primary trail

Verified Sources10

Trump and Republicans are being blamed more than Dems for government shutdown,...

independent.co.uk
Open source

More Americans blame Trump, Republicans for shutdown than Democrats: Survey

thehill.com
Open source

Are Democrats or Republicans to blame for the looming government shutdown?...

pbs.org
Open source
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