Fact-check analysisVerified as of January 22, 2026Curated by FactVerify
Mostly True

US Pending Home Sales fall -9.3% month-over-month, the highest since the pandemic in 2020.

The claim that US pending home sales fell by 9.3% month-over-month, marking the largest drop since the pandemic began in 2020, is mostly true because multiple reliable sources report a 9.3% decline in December 2025, the steepest monthly decrease since April 2020, though some sources note this is the lowest level since mid-2025 rather than strictly the highest drop ever.

Pending Home Sales

Pending Home Sales

Source: nar.realtor

At a glance

Key Evidence

Verified January 22, 2026
The reporting

What the Evidence Shows

Multiple authoritative sources confirm that pending home sales in the US dropped sharply by approximately 9.3% from November to December 2025. This decline is widely reported as the largest monthly fall since April 2020, when the pandemic initially disrupted the housing market. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) data, cited by several outlets including Detroit News, Bloomberg Law, and Wolf Street, shows the Pending Home Sales Index fell to around 71.8, a level not seen since mid-2025 or earlier in the pandemic period.

Some sources emphasize that this drop brought pending sales to their lowest level on record aside from April 2020, while others highlight it as the steepest monthly percentage decline since that time. There is slight variation in framing, some mention it as the lowest level since July 2025 or the worst December on record, but all agree on the magnitude and timing of the drop.

The context includes ongoing challenges such as high mortgage rates and tight inventory constraining housing market activity. The data primarily covers existing home contracts and reflects a cooling market after some prior momentum.

Overall, the claim aligns well with current data and reporting but could be nuanced by noting it is specifically about December 2025's month-over-month change and that it is the largest drop since early pandemic months rather than an absolute all-time record.

Primary trail

Verified Sources10

Existing Home Sales, Pending Sales Fall to Lowest Level Since Pandemic Start as...

investors.redfin.com
Open source

U.S. pending-home sales plunge by most since start of pandemic

detroitnews.com
Open source
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