Childhood vaccination rates in the United States have fallen below the approximately 95% threshold needed to maintain herd immunity against measles, leading to increased outbreaks.
Childhood vaccination rates have dipped below the level needed to stop measles from spreading in a community.

U.S. measles outbreaks may end a hard-won victory over the virus
Source: sciencenews.org
Key Evidence
CDC data shows MMR coverage among kindergarteners is now below the 95% target and falling.
cdc.govcdc.govMeasles Cases and Outbreaks
nytimes.comnytimes.comCDC Says Childhood Vaccination Rates Have Dropped Again
Measles cases have surged to a 33-year high with nearly all cases occurring in unvaccinated individuals.
washingtonpost.comwashingtonpost.comU.S. measles cases climb to 33-year high
dailymail.co.ukdailymail.co.ukAmerica's measles outbreak hits terrifying milestone as doctors reveal what 95%...
Experts warn that unless vaccination rates improve, measles outbreaks will become more common.
What the Evidence Shows
Current data from authoritative public health sources, including the CDC and recent news reports from 2025, confirm that vaccination coverage among children, particularly for the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine, has declined below the critical herd immunity threshold of about 95%. This decline has been observed in kindergarten vaccination rates during the 2024-25 school year and is associated with a resurgence of measles cases, reaching levels not seen in over three decades.
Measles is highly contagious, and when vaccination rates drop below this threshold, community immunity weakens, allowing outbreaks to spread more easily. The majority of recent measles cases have occurred among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown vaccination status. This situation threatens to reverse the historic elimination of endemic measles transmission in the U.S. Declared in 2000.